Thursday, March 10, 2022

Was war with Ukraine inescapable?

 On February 24, 2022 Russian invaded Ukraine.

The video below was posted in April, 2021. It is well known Russian former journalist and MP Alexander Nevzorov. He has a Youtube channel with 1.5 million subscribers.

His opening line at the 2:40 mark is, "..by now it's understood that war with Ukraine is inescapable..." he then goes on to predict, with remarkable accuracy the events of the last three weeks. If your Russian is rusty, turn on the translated closed captions. I didn't watch all the way through.

My question is, did our intelligence, diplomatic, and policy community also know a year ago that a war in Europe was "inescapable?" 
 
If not, this is a massive, tragic failure. 
 
If they did know was the rapid unified sanction response pre-planned? 
If they did know, was it accepted as a given, or were actions taken to try to escape the inescapable?